全国猪价强势上涨 年内累计涨幅高达接近250%

      自201883日发生非洲猪瘟以来,我国共发生非洲猪瘟155起,共扑杀生猪百万头,数百亿直接经济损失

 

涨涨涨!养殖企业毛猪出栏均价累计涨幅高达35%近来,国内毛猪出栏价明显上涨,集团化生猪养殖企业的猪价涨幅在2/公斤,大型企业在1.2-1.9/公斤,中小规模企业和散养户报价调整幅度更高在3-5/公斤。截止当前,10月以来,我国生猪养殖企业的毛猪出栏均价累计涨幅为35%。  全国猪价强势上涨 年内累计涨幅高达接近250% 盈利最高可卖出6555今年以来,受非洲猪瘟影响,生猪存栏量大幅下降,猪价也因此持续性暴涨,据统计,年内全国猪价累计涨幅接近250%。按市价来算,广东省惠州市一头300斤重的猪可以卖出6555元。  

今年生猪价格暴涨,非洲猪瘟疫情需要负80%的责任。早在8月时,就有人统计,中国商品育肥出栏几乎少了8亿头。据荷兰合作银行评估,非洲猪瘟疫情影响全球动物蛋白生产超5年以上。对中国来说,可能需要更长时间才能恢复原有产能。  从上图我们可以清晰的观察出,10月至今,我们总共经历了两波猪价猛涨高峰期,并且现在就处在第二波的上涨时期。第一波猪价高峰从104日开始,于1013日趋缓,整个过程持续了9天,增长了6.68/公斤。  我们大胆预测,再无其他影响情况下,按当前涨势,10月内猪价很有可能突破50/公斤。  无利不起早!高利润下企业纷纷加大投资新希望、正邦、牧原、汉世伟、农垦永新、桂宁、漓源等一大批养猪企业积极投入广西养猪加工项目,投资总额在180亿元以上。德康集团在四川叙永县进行了150万头生猪产业一体化项目的签约。东方希望也与陕西省延川县签约10亿元生猪养殖项目。牧原股份拟设立了9家子公司,注册资本均达到1000万元,立志打造生猪产业链。铁骑力士集团在贵州沿河的30万头现代化生猪产业发展项目已经正式签约。西藏新好与雅安市汉源县签约,计划投资50亿元修建生猪养殖场。  农业农村部:将下达3亿元生猪规模养殖场建设补助项目投资!农业农村部畜牧兽医局局长杨振海在近期的发布会上表示,政策扶持是加快生猪生产恢复发展的关键。8月底以来,有关部门出台了17条扶持生产的政策措施,在财政、金融、用地、规范禁养区划定和管理、绿色通道,生猪生产的补奖等方面明确了一系列政策。政策的组合拳含金量之高,近年来少有。这段时间,各个部门都加大政策的落实力度,比如说生态环境部、农业农村部,派出了20个工作组赴200个生猪养殖大县,开展禁养区划定情况排查。中央预算内投资即将下达3亿元生猪规模养殖场建设补助项目投资计划,中央财政近期将按程序下达上半年非洲猪瘟扑杀补助经费,第二批农业保险保费补贴资金和新增的7亿元生猪调出大县奖励资金。

 

 

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